A conservative revolution? : electoral change in by Michael Marsh, David M. Farrell, Gail McElroy

By Michael Marsh, David M. Farrell, Gail McElroy

"A Conservative Revolution?' examines underlying voter attitudes within the interval 2002-11. Drawing on 3 nationwide election experiences the ebook follows occasion approach evolution and voter behaviour from growth to bust. those information enable an exceptional perception right into a social gathering procedure and its citizens at a time of serious swap, because the nation went via a interval of speedy development to develop into one in all Europe's wealthiest states in the Read more...

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This ebook examines Irish vote casting behaviour within the first many years of this century, with a selected specialise in the 2011 election - an election held at a time of deep financial crisis. Read more...

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1995). Irish Voters Decide: Voting Behaviour in Elections and Referendums since 1918. Manchester: Manchester University Press. Stokes, D. (1963). ‘Spatial Models of Party Competition’, American Journal of Political Science, 57/2: 368–77. , and Farrell, D. (2011). ‘The Parties’ Manifestos’, in M. Gallagher and M. Marsh (eds), How Ireland Voted, 2011. Houndmills, Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan. Weeks, L. (2010). ‘Parties and the Party System’, in J Coakley and M. Gallagher (eds), Politics in the Republic of Ireland.

Because of the way in which income was grouped, it is difficult to construct more precise categories than this. If we categorize income into three (effectively dividing the ‘middle class’ group into two), then we see the same patterns as shown here. That is, people in the top third of the income distribution are not noticeably different from those in the middle third, but those in the top 60% or so are different from the people with the lowest incomes. While this income-based measure is not ideal for discriminating among employees, measures of occupational class are unfortunately even less consistent over the 2002–11 period.

If parties offer distinct economic policy packages (either left or right wing), and voters’ policy positions are determined by their social position, then the result is increased voting along cleavage lines. We begin by discussing class politics in Ireland and then elaborate on why the 2011 election may have witnessed a significant increase in class voting. We then test our ideas using INES data from the 2002–11 studies. We conclude with a discussion of the importance of the findings for our understanding of the determinants of voting behaviour in Ireland and also the more general significance of ‘realigning’ elections and social cleavage politics.

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